The delay from infection to death, Corona video #3:

This is the third Corona video in a series listed here.

In this film we present our estimate of a common duration, which is several days shorter than the average duration of 26 days. Our purpose is to have a useful rule of thumb for what delay to expect between a behavioural change and a change in weekly death statistics. We can’t use the longer averages for this, because they are influenced by a minority of cases that have much longer durations than normal, before symptoms, before death or before reporting. Such long durations are quite common, and they have great variation, but they won’t be the first to indicate the effect of a behavioural change.

You can download the free video and slides and use them under Creative Common Licence BY 4.0 in any way you like (!) as long as you mention “based on free stuff from Gapminder.org”. Thank you!

— DATA SOURCES Numbers are based on (but not identical to) the mean durations from CDC — COVID-19 Pandemic Planning Scenarios, Table 2: https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/hcp/planning-scenarios.html#table-2  

This video was produced by Anna Rosling Rönnlund and Ola Rosling.

LICENSE : This video, slideshow and data are all free to use, edit and redistribute and even sell, under Creative Common License CC BY 4.0, just remember to mention “based on free stuff from gapminder.org”.


Date Posted: 2020-06-10